25 YEARS: 365 PEOPLE HAVE PLAYED IN OUR POOLS As deadline nears, we can predict how many entries we might get
EL SEGUNDO, CA (smt)- Could a non-power 5 school such as Dayton, Gonzaga, or San Diego St have won it all? We’ll never know. Well, Sportsline ran a simulation and Dayton won (yay, Flyers). This is the start of a series of updates reflecting on the 25 years of our HWCI NCAA pool and a peak behind the curtain of how the pool is run. Kind of a nice number to do so, so thanks NCAA for cancelling this year’s tournament due to coronavirus disease (COVID-19) concerns. Whereas pro athletes can wait this out and as leagues have previously self-inflicted on their seasons voluntarily (NBA lockout 8 months in 2011-12 (82->66 game season), NHL lockout 1994-95 (84->48 game season), NHL lockout 2004-05 (cancelling entire season and Stanley Cup), MLB strike in 1994 (cancelling the World Series!), NFL strike 7 weeks in 1982 (16->9 game season)), these amateur athletes have worked hard for years for an opportunity to play in March Madness and will move on to their next phase in life (attempt to go pro, graduate school, the working world).
When CBS (or that awful year it was on TBS) finally gets through announcing the bracket on Selection Sunday, where feasible, David and myself are busy reading up the homepage (http://www.hwci.com/ncaa) for people to enter their picks. Sometimes, this is very late Sunday (or very early Monday) and sometimes, like in 2006 where a hard drive crash kept the online entry disabled until 1 pm Monday or in 2014 where java security errors kept the updated form down until 2 am Tuesday, we experience anti-technology days that wreak havoc on our sanity!
NEVADA ARE THE COMEBACK KIDS; ONLY PURDUE SURVIVES M Star holds onto lead but ChasCroix-2 gets 5 of 8 correct and are 2 of 75 still alive
CERRITOS/GOLETA, CA (smt)- #7S-Nevada was out of gas and down by 22 with 11:36 left but quickly scored 16 straight points in 2:54 en route to a closing 32-8 run to stun #2S-Cincinnati, 75-73. What did I say in my last update? Watch out Cincy. Now the South is without its top 4 seeds in the Sweet 16, the first time a region has done that. Nevada rallied from 14 down in its first round victory over #10-Texas. #1W-Xavier had a 12-point lead with 9:50 left and a 9-point lead with 5:37 left but couldn’t hold on as #9W-Florida St 18 of the final 22 points as another #1 seed fell. #11MW-Syracuse held #3MW-Michigan St without a FG in the last 5:43 (missing 13 shots) to rally from five down to become the fourth First Four team to reach the Sweet 16. In the battle of low seeds, #9S-Kansas St managed to beat darling #16S-UMBC despite scoring just 50 points. In this ugly game, the score was 34-33 Kansas St for 3:19 (11:07 to 7:48) and in one 7:15 stretch each team scored just 2 points. In other games, #2E-Purdue, the only top 4 seed to win today, held off #10E-Butler while #7W-Texas A&M (over #2W-UNC), #5MW-Clemson (led by 41 pts over #4MW-Auburn), and #5E-West Virginia (over #13E-Marshall) rolled to easy wins.
There are the same number of 11 seeds left as 1 seeds (2) and the Sweet 16 will feature two 9 seeds, two 7 seeds, and three 5 seeds. There are 4 ACC teams (3 in the MW) and 4 Big 12 teams with the SEC and Big Ten getting two each in the Sweet 16.
For the first time since 2012, we had to remove a few entries due to blatant non-payment. So Bsarty31 (was 65th-T, new and also didn’t pay Jason R’s pool), SK (was 154th-T, referred by Greg P but never responded), CryingJordans (was 8th-T, veteran but second year of not paying), and Full Metal Bracket (was 104th-T, veteran but second year of not paying) are no more. No one’s fortunes really changed that much though CryingJordans really did have a shot at the title. So our official tally is 156 entries (3rd highest) from 108 people (4th largest).
Despite only one top 4 seed winning today, ChasCroix-2 managed to get 5 of 8 games correct (Purdue, #5E-WVU, #7S-Nevada, #9W-FSU, #11MW-Syracuse), two more than the 23 who got 3 of 8 correct. He moved from a tie for 58th to a tie for 4th (78 pts). But M Star (84) still leads Read the rest of this entry »
DARK HORSE ‘ZONA OUT, TOP SEEDS STRUGGLE In our 24th pool, we have 160 entries, our 3rd highest total
CERRITOS, CA (smt)- With #1S-Virginia down a top player, it seemed like the journey was made for #4S-Arizona to play with a chip on its shoulder to the Final Four. But Arizona is a Pac 12 team and with that curse, fell to#13S-Buffalo who won their first tourney game ever. Just like that, the Pac 12 fizzled 0-3 and matched the horrible post-season showing of its football teams who went 1-8 in bowl games. Buffalo’s win overshadowed #11S-Loyola-Chicago nailing a 3-pt near buzzer-beater (they put 0.3 sec back on clock) to advance to the Round of 32. Top seeds had lots of trouble but eventually #4W-Gonzaga, #1MW-Kansas (#16MW-Penn led 21-11 at one point), #5W-Ohio St, #8MW-Seton Hall, #5S-Kentucky, #6W-Houston, #3E-Texas Tech (holding #14E-Stephen F Austin to no FGs in last 5 minutes), and #3W-Michigan were victorious. #3S-Tennessee, #2MW-Duke, #1E-Villanova, and #6E-Florida had easy wins. The tourney started with a riveting match that #7MW-Rhode Island pulled out in overtime over a #10MW-Oklahoma team that Trae Young that singlehandedly kept them in the game. The other mild upset was #9E-Alabama, despite 15 losses as an at-large pick, winning by 3 over #8E-Virginia Tech.
For our 24th pool, we unofficially have 160 entries from 112 people. The is our third highest total (behind ’17‘s 178 and ’15‘s 161) and third-highest participation (behind ’17’s 124 and ’15’s 113). We tied a record with 72 entries (’15) on Wednesday. We also discovered that the comment section on our form doesn’t go anywhere and that ncaa<at>hwci.com has a very aggressive spam filter this year. Growing pains.
Posted on March 16th, 2018 - 11:36 amScottNo comments
Unofficially, we have 160 entries from 112 people. We should finalize everything by Saturday. You will notice three new menu items at the top.
Standings – The current pool standings are updated by the next morning (usually late that same day though).
Team Dist – Who did everyone pick to win it all? 18 teams were picked. How many picked Arizona to make the Final Four?
All Picks – This is everyone’s picks sorted by champion. You can find out who were the 7 people who picked Buffalo to beat Arizona. Who is that one person who did not pick Xavier to make the Round of 32? Amazingly, for the first time ever in 24 years, we have two entries with the exact 63 picks (they differ on total points though). CryingJordans and AlfordBlows will be forever tied as we move through the tournament.
Soon, the Nicknames will be up so you can see who is who in the pool. And Your Bracket has been up since Wednesday so you can print out your bracket if you forgot.
Posted on March 15th, 2017 - 4:18 pmScottNo comments
We just hit another milestone (by 4 pm, or Hour 67), getting our 100th entry courtesy of Alex J’s third entry Jackson’s Picks 3. The earliest we have ever hit 100 was at 9 pm. With 100 entries, that is above the pace of our record year in 2016 when we had 74 at this time. We have received entries from 70 people, though only 8 are new players (welcome!). It might be that there is no consensus team to win the title but we have already had 10 people submit the maximum of three entries (record: 11 in 2015) while 10 have submitted two entries (record: 26 in 2015).
Though I won’t discourage it (it increases the pot with these extra entries), but in the last 5 years there have 3637 money spots and only 4 of those winners have won on their 2nd or 3rd entry. And of the seven winners last year (top 6 + Bonus), all won on their first entry. So you’re gut instinct is usually the one with the best chance.
Edit – it’s 37 money spots because we also had a tie for the Bonus in 2015 (I already accounted for the tie for 6th in 2012).
Posted on March 14th, 2017 - 4:24 pmScottNo comments
It’s 3:40 pm and the first First Four match has tipped off, more than 42 hours after the earliest we have ever got the web entry up (9 pm Sunday). At this time, we have 54 entries, which is 17 more than our previous best, 37 in 2014. In our record-setting year of 2016 (161 entries), we had just 27 so we’ve doubled that. The graph is time-based so, for example, you can see most people are sleeping between hours 25 and 33 (10 pm – 6 am). The biggest increase in entries will be tomorrow from 9 am until 3 am Thursday (Hours 60 to 78) so that will be a better indication if we will top the 161 entries we had in 2016.
Speaking of topping the record number of entries, if we do that, I’ll donate another $25 to the IEEE Global Humanitarian Technology Conference, this year’s HWCI NCAA First Four for Charity choice (charity meaning any non-profit). We did get 16 entries so that’s at least $32 that will go to the conference. I already got a good lead from Neil O (Dagger) for next year’s charity of choice so I can’t wait.
Also, if you want to see your bracket, you can click on “Your Picks” in the top menu. These are all unofficial.
Posted on March 17th, 2016 - 7:24 pmScottNo comments
We fell short of last year’s record (161) but we have at least 149 entries which is our 2nd highest total ever. I’ll start posting mini-updates during the day through twitter (#hwciNCAA). With two 9 seeds winning for the first time in a while and two 12 seeds advancing after last year’s 0-fer, I’ll be posting standings highlights in groups of four. At the end of each night (sometimes after midnight), the standings will be updated by Dave.
Unofficially, you can check your bracket (and others) here:
Posted on March 17th, 2016 - 3:21 amScottNo comments
Vi P edged Tom J and Neil O by a point to take the 6th HWCI NCAA First Four for Charity contest. Six picked all four First Four games correctly but Vi had the lowest point differential. On the flip side, Scott T finished dead last as one of three to go 1-3 and had a huge 81 point differential.
At midnight, we had 112 entries which is two more than 2014 but 11 less than 2015 at this same time. Hopefully, we’ll get a flood of entries as the 9 am deadline nears!
TWO BLOWOUTS TO START, HOW WILL IT END? 18 hours to go — Deadline is 9 am PDT tomorrow
EL SEGUNDO, CA (smt)- I hope the first two games of the tournament are no indication of what’s to come as #16Ea-FGCU trounced #16Eb-Fairleigh Dickinson by 30 and #11Sb-Wichita St knocked off #11Sa-Vandy by 20. Hope for some close matches and some good upsets. It’s amazing there are multiple ways to watch the game but in a car, it’s not on the radio. Thank goodness for TuneIn radio so was able to hear the blowouts on my long drive home.
So there was apparently a leak of the bracket thirty or so minutes into a 2-hour long debacle of a Selection Show. It’s one of many things I’ve been oblivious of the past several months (there was a terrorist attack nearby in San Bernardino? Star Wars TV spots were airing maybe spoiling the film a little bit?) as work and family schedules ramped up. But this pool is fun and worth all the work that goes into it.
With 69 entries with 18 hours to go (on graph, Hour 66), we are just slightly off 2014’s (72) and 2015’s (73) paces. If you look at the historical trends since we’ve been doing this entry form since 2002, you can see the majority of the entries come tonight (you can see that last year, from 3 pm to midnight we got 50 entries (from 73 to 123) — that seems like it will be very hard to duplicate). And remember, Read the rest of this entry »
FAVORITES WIN 23 STRAIGHT IN DAY OF SO-SO GAMES Six are perfect today while The Flying Elvi sets record with 23 straight wins
REDONDO BEACH, CA (smt)- I guess all the excitement was used up as the first 15 lower seeds won with two games decided by three points of less, both of which saw #13MW-Valpo and #13E-UCI falter on the last possession without getting a shot off giving #4MW-Maryland (its 11th straight Round of 64 win) and #4E-Louisville victories. #2MW-Kansas, #1S-Duke, #5E-Northern Iowa, #7S-Iowa, #1W-Wisconsin, and #11E-Dayton (the only higher seed to win) had comfortable wins while #7E-Michigan St, #2E-Virginia, #7MW-Wichita St, #5MW-West Virginia, #8W-Oregon, #3E-Oklahoma, #8S-San Diego St, and #2S-Gonzaga pulled away late. Dayton, who played at their home arena for the First Four and in-state for the Round of 64 (and now Round of 32) games, made it 5 straight years a First Four team has won at least two games. I didn’t see many games (followed on phone) but apparently didn’t miss much (did see the ends of the Valpo and UCI debacles). I guess the only interesting thing is we will get the Kansas-Wichita St matchup people have been talking about.
We now have 161 entries and expect it to stay that way. Because the lower seeds won 23 straight games, that meant Read the rest of this entry »
CLOSE GAMES, FOUR HUGE UPSETS, KY ROLL Our 21st year sees a record 159+ entries
CERRITOS, CA (smt)- This was a day not to miss. Five games decided by a single point. Nine decided by 5 points or less. Two overtime games. Teams having multiple shots at glory at the buzzer. Controversial calls. A player ejected. Near buzzer-beaters (0.1 and 2.7 seconds left). Unnecessary late turnovers that boggle the mind. 13-0, 8-0, and 6-0 runs to end games (3 of the 5 single point wins). Four double-digit seeds winning in the first 8 games. Chalk the last 8 games. Three conferences perfect while the Big 12 0-fer.
Oh so close of having the very first 3 games eliminate three #3 seeds. But #3MW-Notre Dame held on against #14MW-Northeastern but fellow 3 seeds #3S-Iowa St and #3W-Baylor weren’t so lucky. Baylor was upended by #14W-Georgia St who scored just Read the rest of this entry »
Posted on March 19th, 2015 - 2:49 amScottNo comments
Final Standings
#16aS-North Florida started off strong but eventually, like in their conference final, #16bS-Robert Morris chipped away and pulled off a 4-point win, 81-77. That meant Wendy B and Kevin T were tied at 2-1 with Kevin holding a 2-point lead in the point differential tiebreaker (18 to 20). Home-team-wearing-road-uniforms #11Eb-Dayton took the lead, trailed late, and eventually came back to pull off a 1-point win, 56-55, thanks to a no-call-that-is-usually-called on a buzzer-beating 3-point attempt by #11Ea-Boise St. That margin gave Kevin T the HWCI NCAA First Four for Charity title, holding off Wendy B by 3 points (3-1, 22 to 25 differential). The Flyers win also meant Scott T (10th) and Eric C (last) didn’t go 0-4. Elizabeth W, despite being 50 points off in her picks, finished 8th. North Florida will be a footnote in our pool as only teams who make the 64 are counted in our pool. So only 4 new teams made it.
So thanks for playing but we’re not done yet. In addition to the $22 (11 x $2) I will be donating based on the entries to the Dr. Susan Love Research Foundation, I should be getting at least $15 from other generous people, and, since we look like we’re passing 138 entries (see below), I’ll be chipping in another $25. So at least $62.
As of 2:15 am, we have 133 entries (from 91 people, 18 who are brand new!), well on our way of breaking the 138 we had last year (I still have 2 entries and we have 2 mail-in entries (yes, mail-in!)). We had a record-breaking 72 entries on Wednesday, shattering the old record of 63 in 2013 and ended with 123 which blitzed by the old record of 110 set last year. We have also set a record of 32 people entering more than one entry (we had 26 in 2012 and 25 last year) which may reflect the balancing point of picking Kentucky and not picking Kentucky.
FIRST FOUR AS FIRST ROUND CLOSING SOON At 3 p.m., 2015 pace eclipsing last year’s record pace of entries received
EL SEGUNDO, CA (smt)- Some good Tuesday games as under #16bMW-Hampton won their 5th game in a row to reach .500 (17-17) and the right to lose to #1MW-Kentucky while #11aW-Ole Miss rallied from a 17-point halftime deficit to beat #11bW-BYU in a high-scoring affair, 94-90. In 2012, BYU had rallied from a 25-point deficit in a First Four game. As #16aS-North Florida leads by six at the half and tries to make the Round of 64 proper for the first time, a rare home game will see host #11bE-Dayton battle #11aE-Boise St. After the First Four is done with, it will no longer be considered the 1st Round, thus confusing as Thursday starts the 2nd Round. We will revert back to the 1st Round being the Round of 64 games and the 2nd Round being the Round of 32 games next year. Small victory. Haven’t really seen any Kentucky backlash (as in the world is now not picking the Wildcats to win it all) yet.
So as I am excited to attend Star Wars Celebration in Anaheim (who else will be there??) and meeting all the great Star Wars fans (geeks, if you may), I was wondering what pool geeks are called. Poeeks? Brackeeks? Bracketeers? We love this March Madness and last year Read the rest of this entry »
Posted on March 19th, 2014 - 1:41 amScottNo comments
So this is interesting. We got a record 42 entries on Tuesday, shattering the previous record of 25 (2011). Maybe the java issues prompted people to enter earlier than usual. We now have 60 entries, which considering we typically get just 30% of our final total by this time, that would mean we’d have 200 entries. We won’t get close to that, but we have a pretty good shot of surpassing 2012’s record total of 134. So keep spreading the word.
Yes, two games were played today (I’m so tired I thought all 4 were being played today). 8 correctly picked NC State and Read the rest of this entry »
Posted on March 22nd, 2013 - 12:29 amScottNo comments
Well, my business review is over and it went well. Drove almost two hours from Pax River in Maryland back to Tyson’s Corner in Virginia. Got a very good filet, crab bisque, and very fresh scallops (and I don’t care for scallops). Then walked about 5 miles in DC in sub-freezing weather. So now, playing catch-up with the pool. First of all, sorry to everyone if you’re an Apple fanboy/girl and couldn’t load the java applet to see the bracket but thanks to you for being flexible and taking pictures with your smartphone (yes, even iPhones) and sending it to us. I think I’ve finally entered the last of them delaying David in posting the standings. If it’s not up soon, then check tomorrow morning.
So it’s weird that at dinner, only half the games have been completed (here in the EDT). Or is it weird Read the rest of this entry »
CERRITOS/GOLETA, CA (smt)- #7S-Nevada was out of gas and down by 22 with 11:36 left but quickly scored 16 straight points in 2:54 en route to a closing 32-8 run to stun #2S-Cincinnati, 75-73. What did I say in my last update? Watch out Cincy. Now the South is without its top 4 seeds in the Sweet 16, the first time a region has done that. Nevada rallied from 14 down in its first round victory over #10-Texas. #1W-Xavier had a 12-point lead with 9:50 left and a 9-point lead with 5:37 left but couldn’t hold on as #9W-Florida St 18 of the final 22 points as another #1 seed fell. #11MW-Syracuse held #3MW-Michigan St without a FG in the last 5:43 (missing 13 shots) to rally from five down to become the fourth First Four team to reach the Sweet 16. In the battle of low seeds, #9S-Kansas St managed to beat darling #16S-UMBC despite scoring just 50 points. In this ugly game, the score was 34-33 Kansas St for 3:19 (11:07 to 7:48) and in one 7:15 stretch each team scored just 2 points. In other games, #2E-Purdue, the only top 4 seed to win today, held off #10E-Butler while #7W-Texas A&M (over #2W-UNC), #5MW-Clemson (led by 41 pts over #4MW-Auburn), and #5E-West Virginia (over #13E-Marshall) rolled to easy wins.
CERRITOS, CA (smt)- With #1S-Virginia down a top player, it seemed like the journey was made for #4S-Arizona to play with a chip on its shoulder to the Final Four. But Arizona is a Pac 12 team and with that curse, fell to#13S-Buffalo who won their first tourney game ever. Just like that, the Pac 12 fizzled 0-3 and matched the horrible post-season showing of its football teams who went 1-8 in bowl games. Buffalo’s win overshadowed #11S-Loyola-Chicago nailing a 3-pt near buzzer-beater (they put 0.3 sec back on clock) to advance to the Round of 32. Top seeds had lots of trouble but eventually #4W-Gonzaga, #1MW-Kansas (#16MW-Penn led 21-11 at one point), #5W-Ohio St, #8MW-Seton Hall, #5S-Kentucky, #6W-Houston, #3E-Texas Tech (holding #14E-Stephen F Austin to no FGs in last 5 minutes), and #3W-Michigan were victorious. #3S-Tennessee, #2MW-Duke, #1E-Villanova, and #6E-Florida had easy wins. The tourney started with a riveting match that #7MW-Rhode Island pulled out in overtime over a #10MW-Oklahoma team that Trae Young that singlehandedly kept them in the game. The other mild upset was #9E-Alabama, despite 15 losses as an at-large pick, winning by 3 over #8E-Virginia Tech.
Unofficially, we have 160 entries from 112 people. We should finalize everything by Saturday. You will notice three new menu items at the top.
It’s 3:40 pm and the first First Four match has tipped off, more than 42 hours after the earliest we have ever got the web entry up (9 pm Sunday). At this time, we have 54 entries, which is 17 more than our previous best, 37 in 2014. In our record-setting year of 2016 (161 entries), we had just 27 so we’ve doubled that. The graph is time-based so, for example, you can see most people are sleeping between hours 25 and 33 (10 pm – 6 am). The biggest increase in entries will be tomorrow from 9 am until 3 am Thursday (Hours 60 to 78) so that will be a better indication if we will top the 161 entries we had in 2016.
Vi P edged Tom J and Neil O by a point to take the 6th HWCI NCAA First Four for Charity contest. Six picked all four First Four games correctly but Vi had the lowest point differential. On the flip side, Scott T finished dead last as one of three to go 1-3 and had a huge 81 point differential.
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